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Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 2:35 am
by Jestor
Two Games Back Of Playoffs; Asik Added For Postseason Chase
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Omer Asik (R) will add badly needed rebounding and shotblocking to the Lakers' center position

For weeks now, the Los Angeles Lakers have been shopping 19 year old Cliff Alexander for a starting center to round out their lineup. Their initial inquiry to the Timberwolves for Omer Asik couldn't reach an agreement, but the Turkish national is donning the purple and gold anyway after the Mavericks offered a last minute deal to the Lakers for Alexander and the Knicks 2019 2nd round pick. In doing so, the team suspended long-going talks with the Detroit Pistons that would have sent Alexander and Arturas Gudaitis to the Detroit Pistons for Mitch McGary and matching contracts at Day 60.

While McGary better fits the Lakers' window, with a correctable shot and stellar passing and handling out of the paint, obtaining him would have meant the team needed to make their free agency splash this offseason, before having to match whatever the Michigan alum got out on the market. With Asik in the fold, should he decline his player option, the Lakers will have an extra $2.2 million from their original projected cap space prior to this deal. If he picks it up, the Lakers can go hunting for a big target two summers from now before matching Nik Stauskas' RFA deal. So from a financial standpoint, there are things to be said for consummating either deal.

In terms of the on-court value, Asik is averaging 9.9 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks, shooting 45.4% from the floor with a 66.7% drive stop rate, 1.3 TOFC and 0.89 PA/SF. In contrast, McGary is posting 8.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 0.8 steals, with just 0.3 blocks in 19 minutes a game, shooting 48.6% (52.4% inside). Defensively, it's 26.5% drive stop rate, 1.4 TOFC, and 0.82 PA/SF. But it's digging deeper into the metrics that we perhaps find true measures of their values and what they would mean for the Lakers:

Asik: 47.3% TS, 12.3% TO, 18.5% Rebound, 19.2% USG
McGary: 54% TS, 7% TO, 13.5% Rebound, 19.5% USG

That 5% difference in Rebound Rate is striking, and it's even more compelling when juxtaposed against the rest of the Lakers, and signals just how vast an upgrade the team has made to their post position:

Gudaitis: 44.7% TS, 16.6% TO, 12.4% Rebound, 12.4% USG - 4.8 points, 4.9 rebounds, 52.2% DSR, 1.1 TOFC, 1.0 PA/SF (39.5% shooting)
Gobert: 44.4% TS, 24.4% TO, 14.1% Rebound, 9.4% USG - 2.8 points, 4.9 rebounds, 1.4 blocks, 60% DSR, 1.2 TOFC, 0.88 PA/SF (40.3% shooting)

While one can make an argument that Gobert perhaps should have received the bulk of the minutes, there's little question that deep examination reveals Asik is a huge, total package upgrade over the split-time centers, and the decision to go with the Turk appears to have been the wisest one, given that McGary's rebound rate and lack of shot blocking doesn't fit well with a team that features at or below 70% DSR wings in DeMar DeRozan, Nik Stauskas, and C.J. Fair.

There's also the matter of the Lakers being a very young team overall, which could explain their completely baffling 3-9 home record to 6-6 away mark. Only Eric Maynor and DeMar DeRozan have more than 5+ years of experience in the league of players receiving meaningful minutes, and only Maynor is 30 or older. Adding a veteran presence like Asik (31, in his 8th season), rather than relying on the young McGary brings more balance to the roster and a second player with extensive playoff experience to the lineup.

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Cliff Alexander hopes a fresh start will get him back on the court

After he dazzled everyone in training camp with his boom in development and was handed the starting job for five games, Cliff Alexander failed to capitalize on the opportunity, showing that at 19, he still has a ways to go before his production matches his talent. He struggled to find minutes after unimpressing as a starter, despite last year's good form at center, but with Brook Lopez now out of the picture, and presumably former Laker Walter Tavares promoted to the starting lineup, there will be room for Alexander to return to regular playing time to develop.

Essentially what we see with this deal is an end to the time share at center, and given that Alexander had fallen out of the rotation (designated 0 minutes the last several games), no change to the PF distribution.

PG TJ McConnell
SG Nik Stauskas
SF DeMar DeRozan
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
CE Omer Asik

Perhaps a good enough starting five to finally push into the postseason, even given the current 2 game deficit.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:19 am
by rh0xxy
great addition imo, glad you pulled a deal on time lol

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:28 am
by Jestor
Yeah, it was a split second decision - go for Asik, or work on landing McGary. Went with Asik, and I think after reviewing everything, it was the smart play. Still really like McGary and think he would be fantastic for a team that doesn't need shotblockers so much due to high DSR guys.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:36 am
by GreenBear
I like Asik, but I'm surprised you gave up Cliffy and a 2nd for him. You would know Cliffy's value better than myself, but I would've thought he'd command more on the open market.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:41 am
by Jestor
GreenBear wrote:I like Asik, but I'm surprised you gave up Cliffy and a 2nd for him. You would know Cliffy's value better than myself, but I would've thought he'd command more on the open market.
The interest in him was a lot of casual interest - no serious offers. In fact, a lot of teams asked me to throw him in deals as a sweetener last year and this offseason (same with Aaron White last season, though that's fallen off this year).

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:56 am
by GreenBear
Jestor wrote:
GreenBear wrote:I like Asik, but I'm surprised you gave up Cliffy and a 2nd for him. You would know Cliffy's value better than myself, but I would've thought he'd command more on the open market.
The interest in him was a lot of casual interest - no serious offers. In fact, a lot of teams asked me to throw him in deals as a sweetener last year and this offseason (same with Aaron White last season, though that's fallen off this year).
I kinda figured that was the case. I'm just surprised there's not more interest in him.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 4:08 am
by 8timechamp
Worth a shot. Asik is decent. There's another center out there that's better on a cheaper deal available(no not any of my guys), but asik will help.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 10:57 am
by Rizzo
Asik is a good defender that shouldn't take any offensive possessions away from your top scorers. If he can stay out of foul trouble, he will be very valuable for your team.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 11:01 am
by andrei
Exceptional defensive player Asik with a baggage of offensive challenges though

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 1:07 pm
by bt
Agree, don't mind Asik. Just didn't think you would move Cliff yet.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 2:01 pm
by StOfTheStep
I'm glad to see you were able to get your C after I prevented you from getting Noel over the offseason. Sorry about that again man.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:47 pm
by blackice
Nice fit with your heavy USG% perimeter. Perfect actually, just gotta keep him out of foul trouble.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2016 8:37 pm
by Jestor
Not worried about his offensive shortcomings - I have 3 guys, incl. Giannis down low, to do that. And I'll keep an eye on his minutes. Can't be any worse than Tavares was last year.

Re: Lakers Land Their Center

Posted: Tue Jul 05, 2016 5:34 pm
by Marcos_Beck
good move IMO. Ask brings a lot of rebounding and defense. In a team featuring 3 ball dominant wings, isn't that what you want from your C?